The phrase "decision theory" itself was used in 1950 by E. Wald's paper renewed and synthesized many concepts of statistical theory, including loss functions, risk functions, admissible decision rules, antecedent distributions, Bayesian procedures, and minimax procedures. In the 20th century, interest was reignited by Abraham Wald's 1939 paper pointing out that the two central procedures of sampling-distribution-based statistical-theory, namely hypothesis testing and parameter estimation, are special cases of the general decision problem. In his solution, he defines a utility function and computes expected utility rather than expected financial value. He gives an example in which a Dutch merchant is trying to decide whether to insure a cargo being sent from Amsterdam to St Petersburg in winter. Petersburg paradox to show that expected value theory must be normatively wrong. In 1738, Daniel Bernoulli published an influential paper entitled Exposition of a New Theory on the Measurement of Risk, in which he uses the St. Known from the 17th century ( Blaise Pascal invoked it in his famous wager, which is contained in his Pensées, published in 1670), the idea of expected value is that, when faced with a number of actions, each of which could give rise to more than one possible outcome with different probabilities, the rational procedure is to identify all possible outcomes, determine their values (positive or negative) and the probabilities that will result from each course of action, and multiply the two to give an "expected value", or the average expectation for an outcome the action to be chosen should be the one that gives rise to the highest total expected value. The area of choice under uncertainty represents the heart of decision theory. Types of decisions Choice under uncertainty įurther information: Expected utility hypothesis In recent decades, there has also been increasing interest in "behavioral decision theory", contributing to a re-evaluation of what useful decision-making requires. Prescriptive decision theory is concerned with predictions about behavior that positive decision theory produces to allow for further tests of the kind of decision-making that occurs in practice. stochastic transitivity axioms), reconciling the Von Neumann-Morgenstern axioms with behavioral violations of the expected utility hypothesis, or they may explicitly give a functional form for time-inconsistent utility functions (e.g. Amos Tversky's elimination by aspects model) or an axiomatic framework (e.g. These rules may, for instance, have a procedural framework (e.g. In contrast, descriptive decision theory is concerned with describing observed behaviors often under the assumption that those making decisions are behaving under some consistent rules. The practical application of this prescriptive approach (how people ought to make decisions) is called decision analysis and is aimed at finding tools, methodologies, and software ( decision support systems) to help people make better decisions. Normative decision theory is concerned with identification of optimal decisions where optimality is often determined by considering an ideal decision maker who is able to calculate with perfect accuracy and is in some sense fully rational. Descriptive decision theory: Analyzes how individuals actually make the decisions that they do.ĭecision theory is a broad field from management sciences and is an interdisciplinary topic, studied by management scientists, medical researchers, mathematicians, data scientists, psychologists, biologists, social scientists, philosophers and computer scientists.Įmpirical applications of this theory are usually done with the help of statistical and discrete mathematical approaches from computer science.Prescriptive decision theory: Concerned with describing observed behaviors through the use of conceptual models, under the assumption that those making the decisions are behaving under some consistent rules.Normative decision theory: Concerned with the identification of optimal decisions, where optimality is often determined by considering an ideal decision-maker who is able to calculate with perfect accuracy and is in some sense fully rational.There are three branches of decision theory: Decision theory (or the theory of choice not to be confused with choice theory) is a branch of applied probability theory and analytic philosophy concerned with the theory of making decisions based on assigning probabilities to various factors and assigning numerical consequences to the outcome.
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I look forward to sharing ideas with you weekly. If you like what I do here on KindergartenWorks, then be sure to subscribe today. This DIY is VERY VERSITILE and can be done to suit. Or you may like these 6 reading activities that use Dollar Tree race cars to teach reading. Just attach a cork board to your cabinet door and use some push pins to hang up your utensils. About Press Copyright Contact us Creators Advertise Developers Terms Privacy Policy & Safety How YouTube works Test new features NFL Sunday Ticket Press Copyright. If that’s not enough ideas to fill your shopping cart, be sure to check out the first 21 Classroom Things Worth Purchasing from the Dollar Tree. Ive become a bit of a connoisseur for dollar store hacks. These are in all of my teacher three-drawer units throughout the classroom.īased on what I’ve purchased and tried over the years – I hope you can find some great, inexpensive tools to use in your classroom… Pin up photos, calendars, notes, and more with these stylish Ryder & Co. It makes it faster to reach in, put away, pull for a sub or to allow students to help clean up. I use drawer organizers to help keep my year-long teacher materials for guided math compartmentalized. Ready? Let’s dig in and explore the shelves of my classroom and my local Dollar Tree store. Account Dashboard Favorites Easy Order Track My Order Sign In Cart. Free Shipping on orders 75 and over View Details. Classroom Stuff Worth Purchasing from the Dollar Tree Officemate 92902, OIC Giant Push Pin, OIC92902, OIC 92902. But I am now an affiliate so you can check out what they have available online at the Dollar Tree. It’s simply a collection of things I’ve purchased and ways I’ve used them in my classroom. Packaging is made from FSC® certified paper. Reusable box for storage to help you get organized and reduce waste. Combine with any fashionable bulletin board by U Brands®. Pin important reminders, grocery lists, photos and more. This is not a paid endorsement for the Dollar Tree. Sophisticated clear and gold accent hardware. Not every dollar store is the same, so take these ideas, what your dollar store has to offer and my opinion with a grain of salt. Like I’ve mentioned before, I’ve purchased many things too that I’ve never used, or that broke quickly. I’ve dug through my classroom photos to see what else has held up over the years that I’ve found worth purchasing. You may have already read my list of 21 Classroom Things Worth Purchasing from the Dollar Tree. I find myself, a kindergarten teacher as a regular in my local Dollar Tree shops finding good buys for my classroom. It provides a ton of useful data to help you quickly find bugs in your source code. Xdebug is one of the most popular debugging PHP extensions. For quick ‘n’ dirty optimizations, it does the job. It implements a subset of the features of kcachegrind, installs in seconds and works on all platforms. Webgrind is an Xdebug profiling Web front end in PHP 5. 15 Helpful In-Browser Web-Development Tools.50 Extremely Useful And Powerful CSS Tools.* 15 Helpful In-Browser Web-Development Tools * 50 Extremely Useful And Powerful CSS Tools You may also want to take a look at the following related posts: Among other things, you’ll find a plethora of libraries and classes that aid in debugging, testing, profiling and code-authoring in PHP. This post presents 50 useful PHP tools that can significantly improve your programming workflow. That’s why it makes perfect sense to provide the huge community of PHP developers with an overview of useful tools and resources that can make their development process easier and more effective. PHP is faster ( updated), and it is the most used scripting language in practice it has detailed documentation, a huge community, numerous ready-to-use scripts and well-supported frameworks and most importantly, it’s much easier to get started with PHP than with other scripting languages (Python, for example). With over 20 million indexed domains using PHP, including major websites like Facebook, Digg and WordPress, there are good reasons why many Web developers prefer it to other server-side scripting languages, such as Python and Ruby. PHP is one of the most widely used open-source server-side scripting languages that exist today. You would instead need a separate flood insurance policy. Home insurance generally doesn’t cover flooding. But home insurance companies don’t typically cover flood or earthquake damage. That’s why it’s important to know what types of insurance cover natural disasters.Ī home insurance policy covers fire, including wildfire insurance, that can pay if your house is damaged in a wildfire. Whether you can file a homeowners insurance claim after a disaster depends on the cause of the damage. Between January 2013 and January 2023, Jefferson Parish had 16 declared disasters, including 11 hurricanes, three coastal storms and two severe ice storms.Jefferson Parish tied with Riverside County for being fourth most impacted by natural disasters.Riverside County experienced 13 fires, two floods and one severe storm in the past decade.With 16 disaster declarations over the past decade, Riverside County tied with Jefferson Parish for being fourth most impacted by natural disasters.Over the past decade, Orleans Parish has declared 17 weather disasters, including 11 hurricanes, three coastal storms, two severe ice storms and one tornado.Orleans Parish tied with East Baton Rouge Parish (as the equivalent to counties) as facing the second highest risk of natural disasters.Between January 2013 and January 2023, East Baton Rouge Parish experienced 10 hurricanes, three coastal storms, two floods and two severe ice storms.With 17 disaster declarations over the past decade, East Baton Rouge Parish tied with Orleans Parish for being second most impacted by natural disasters. The county has declared 22 natural disasters in the past decade, including 20 fires and two instances of severe winter storms, flooding and mudslides.Ģ. Los Angeles County tops the list of counties most impacted by natural disasters. You’ll then be able to use these points to redeem certain items such as movie tickets and concession items. For every one dollar ($1) you spent towards eligible purchases, members will receive one (1) point. MJR Premier Rewards is similar to a number of other loyalty programs offered by other cinemas, such as Carmike. Member of the old program will be unable to transfer membership across due to certain constraints, so they’ll need to sign up again for the new one. After receiving feedback from many of the current members of the program, MJR Premier Rewards will be open to the public in April 2017.Īll member of the old program can continue to earn points up to 19 March 2017, which will continue to be accepted by MJR up to 365 days after the day they were earned. MJR have recently announced their decade old loyalty program is being overturned and transformed to remain competitive in the cinema industry. You will not only get your ticket in advance but you will know exactly where you will be seated during the film screening. If you have a busy schedule and you have little time to spare for lining up for tickets, you can also use the reserved seating feature. You can still enjoy the witty dialogues, fast action, and crisp sound of new-release blockbusters with visual or auditory impairments. The bottom line: You have no excuse to skip on an epic movie viewing experience even if you have sensory difficulties. Second, the Fidelio device is a descriptive narration and assisted listening system, which the visually and hearing-impaired customers can use. First, the CaptiView closed captioning devices transmits the dialogue on the big screen to a smaller yet easy-to-read personal screen attached to your seat.
These were made when the bone was still fresh in a manner indicating ritual practice. Also of significance are cut marks on the child's skull. They show a suite of modern human traits, mixed with archaic and early modern features. Some scientists regard these fossils as a sub-species of modern humans (named Homo sapiens idàltu) because of some slight differences in their skull features. They are some of the oldest fossils of modern Homo sapiens yet discovered. This skull from an adult male and those of another adult and a child were found in 1997 and publicly announced in 2003. Herto – a 160,000-year-old partial skull discovered in1997 in Herto, Ethiopia.Important specimens: Early modern Homo sapiens This suggests that the Cro-Magnons had migrated from a warmer climate and had a relatively recent African ancestry. Cro-Magnon skeletons have proportions similar to those of modern Africans rather than modern Europeans. This adult male represents the oldest known skull of a modern human from western Europe. Cro-Magnon 1 – a 32,000-year-old skull discovered in 1868 in Cro-Magnon rockshelter, Les Eyzies, France.The skeletons were taken to a local cemetery for burial but later investigations indicated that the skeletons were actually up to 10,000 years old. A workman digging a trench in a hillside found a cave that had been blocked by rock but after clearing away the debris he found 17 skeletons. The first Aurignac fossils were accidentally found in 1852. Aurignac – skull discovered in Aurignac, France.This skull lacks the typically northern Asian features found in modern populations from those regions, lending support to popular theories that such features only arose in the last 8000 years. Age is uncertain, but at least 15,000 years old.
Overall, they have all the materials needed for a successful movie. The plot is gripping, events move along at a fast pace, you know there is going to be action, and you always expect twists that will leave you amazed. Lorraine takes out Bremovych and his men, revealing what he knew to the audience with a simple shift of her accent from (vaguely) Russian to American. Spy thrillers always make for exciting films. He immediately tries to kill her, having learned another secret about her following a meeting with Percival prior to his death. Dominika Egorova (Lawrence) is a prima ballerina for the Bolshoi Ballet, but a broken leg during a performance ends her career. Nigel Andrews FebruReceive free Life & Arts updates We’ll send you a myFT Daily Digest email rounding up the latest Life & Arts news every morning. All's well that ends well!īut how would a spy thriller be thrilling without a few twists? After she wraps things up in the UK, Lorraine visits KGB agent Bremovych (Roland Møller), who greets her as the infamous Satchel. The film stars Jennifer Lawrence, Joel Edgerton, Matthias Schoenaerts, Charlotte Rampling, Mary-Louise Parker, and Jeremy Irons. Faced with Lasalle's photos and Percival's own recordings, MI6 has no choice but to close the case. Red Sparrow is a 2018 American spy dark thriller film directed by Francis Lawrence and written by Justin Haythe, based on the 2013 novel of the same name by Jason Matthews. In true spy fashion, Lorraine withholds The List from MI6 and manages to frame Percival as the mysterious double agent Satchel. 0.06 0.20 -0.07 -0.37 COMPONENT 2 WWPO BCC RED -0.21 0.15 -0.01 0.87 0.26 -0.36 LIN -2 wcs -2 0 2 Eigenvalue 3.59 2.28 1.07 Variation explained 44.8 28.5. Lorraine then takes The List and heads back to the UK for debriefing. She seduces Ustinov as she is having sex with him, he is assassinated, which shocks and horrifies her. There, she is taught to identify the one thing. Initially upset with this assignment, Dominika tells herself she must make sacrifices in order to gain safety and security. I n the just-released thriller Red Sparrow, Jennifer Lawrence plays Dominika Egorova, a young Russian woman sent to train at an elite spy school. And the pacing is excruciatingly slow, taking a long time to get to the plot. He asks her to seduce a man named Ustinov to try to find evidence they can use to put him in jail. After discovering that he's been surveilling her since she arrived in Berlin, Lorraine tracks down and kills Percival, and act which also avenges her slain girlfriend, French spy Delphine Lasalle (Boutella). Red Sparrow aims for smart, sexy spy thriller territory. The app allows you to zoom in up to 64x so that you can add fine details. This feature lets you edit the picture on your desktop. One of the advantages of this painting app is that it allows you to send your drawings in an editable format to Photoshop, Illustrator, Capture One, or Photoshop Sketch. It offers hundreds of professional tools to create vector artwork. Adobe Illustrator DrawĪdobe Illustrator Draw is a great drawing app for illustrators, graphic designers, and artists. Tayasui is one of the best Android apps for artists who wish to bring their art with them everywhere they go. It comes with a feature to mix colors and get the perfect shade. The app features several brushes, unlimited layers, patterns, and gradients. Tayasui is one of the best drawing apps you can find for creating realistic art. It comes with many tools perfect for digital artists.Īlthough it is sophisticated, it’s straightforward to use thanks to its user-friendly interface. Tayasui is another one of the best drawing apps for Android devices. You can also look for inspiration in the app’s gallery, where other users post their art. After you finish, you can share your art with other users or export your drawing in PNG format. You just pick a color from the palette at the bottom of the screen and start drawing. It is designed to create pixelated drawings. Dotpictĭotpict is one of the most specific drawing apps for Android. The software allows you to export your paintings in PNG and JPG files. It also offers layers, Photoshop blending modes, a Fill tool, and other great features.ĪrtRage comes in a desktop version as well, which is compatible with the app for Android. Thanks to these tools, you can create realistic effects with watercolor and oil brushes. It features advanced tools that let you measure how much paint you have used or how wet the paint is. It features textures and painting effects that resemble physical paint.ĪrtRage is one of the best drawing apps for Android. ArtRageĪrtRage is a paid app that offers a realistic painting experience. But it offers a free version with only 20 basic tools and three layers. The app supports PNG, JPG, and PSD formats.Īrtflow is a paid app. Although the app is meant for advanced users, the interface makes it easy to use for everyone. It features layer clipping and selection masks as well.ĪrtFlow’s interface is intuitive and accessible. This drawing app comes with some useful features such as Smudge, Fill, and Eraser tools. These features make your painting experience more realistic. And it supports pressure-sensitive pens and pressure simulation. It comes with over 100 brushes and tools. ArtFlowĪrtflow is one of the best drawing apps available for download. Sketchbook is free and it is compatible with Android 5.0. The app offers the perfect place to focus on your work. This drawing app also offers guides and rulers that provide precision for a professional job. This award-winning app offers customizable tools that are great for artists and professional illustrators. Sketchbook features different brush types, layers, and blend modes. The app allows everything from simple sketches to professional artwork. Sketchbook is one of those all-in-one drawing apps that’s worth a try. But it’s still a good app if you are looking to have some fun doodling around. It doesn’t come with airbrushes, masks, or layers. This app is not suitable for advanced digital arts. Simple Draw allows you to easily share your sketches through social networks or messages. It allows you to set different background colors or use a photo as the background. This paid app comes with different paint and pen sizes. It is also a good option for kids, as it is easy to use. Simple Draw is one of the best apps for beginners. But many features are only available through in-app purchases. You will be able to use this software easily, even if you are not familiar with these apps. All tools and workflows are organized well. Infinite Painter features a user-friendly interface. You can paint in layers, use Photoshop blend modes, or even draw 3D cityscapes with perspective guides. Infinite Painter comes with several useful tools. It is practical if you prefer traditional painting but can’t transport your canvas everywhere. This feature allows the users to paint realistically using a digital device. The app’s drawing tools are designed to resemble painting over real paper textures. It offers the opportunity to tailor the existing brushes and adapt them to your needs. This app comes with over 160 brushes and allows you to create your own. Infinite Painter is our top pick for the best drawing app Android offers. The following list covers the best drawing and painting apps for Android. Buy from Unavailable 10 Best Painting and Drawing Apps for Androidĭrawing apps are an excellent tool for people dedicated to this style of art. We'll fill you in on the best ways to keep tabs on your Instagram followers, no matter how many you have. If you’ve ever wondered how to see who unfollowed you on Instagram, you've come to the right place. While manually checking who unfollowed you on Instagram is possible (and tedious), when you've got thousands of followers, it's nearly impossible to manage them without the help of an app. So, it can make you a little stressed when you start to see your Instagram unfollowers increase. Voila The desired user will no longer be a follower of yours. Using the search bar, type the name of the account whose following status you want to check. Click that button, follow the prompts, and they’ll be removed. Open Instagram and go to the Search page, located at the bottom left and next to the home icon. Instagram now lets you search through another user’s Following list. Now tap ‘Following’ next to their username. To check if someone has unfollowed you, go to their Instagram account. The first way only works if you want to check if a certain person unfollowed you. To the right side of the screen, you’ll see the remove button. Method 1: Check who unfollowed you from phone. Log into your Instagram account in Followmeter to view your accounts follower. Here are the steps: Click on your followers (the number) Find or search for the user you no longer want to follow you. Since the average person only has about 150 Instagram followers, it’s not super difficult to keep tabs on who’s following you and how many followers you’ve got.īut if you’re using Instagram to build an online business or persona, it’s kind of a big deal to have a large (and growing!) list of followers on Instagram. THE SHORT ANSWER To see who unfollowed you on Instagram, download and install Followmeter ( Android iOS ). Another thing most people have wondered at least once: How to see who unfollowed you on Instagram. If you’re like most people, you use your Instagram account to share cool memes, selfies, super-fun moments, and drool-worthy recipes with family and friends. This is really sad and bad customer service where a website sells products but cannot answer their customers, how annoying that this!Īnyways, my conclusion is that this cannot replace traditional waxing in my case and I would definitely not recommend buying this as the same looking product is available on Amazon at much cheaper price! Also, I used the product 4-5 times and I thought it is enough to review it on my YouTube channel. I contacted them thrice by writing them emails and once from their contact form. This is so bad that Sugarcomb.in didn’t reply to any of my e-mails. I wrote to them again and asked them to confirm if this is an original product as I paid an amount that is way to higher and counterfeit and fake products are already available on different websites in India for a much lesser price. When I received the product, the product didn’t look as it looked in the pictures and videos of other bloggers and YouTubers.īelieving that this is a fake product I wrote to sugarcomb.in and asked them for a refund. I saw an ad running on YouTube itself for flawless and I thought I should give it a try. Now coming to the service provided my Sugarcomb.in. You know what I mean!Ībout my shopping experience with Sugarcomb for Flawless Facial Hair Remover This tool can be carried in your handbag and even if someone finds it in your handbag you really do not have to be embarrassed. YouTube Finishing Touch Flawless Brows Eyebrow Hair Remover for. However, one should not forget that this tool is useful whenever you are on the go and you cannot spend a lot of time waxing your face or hands. Using the finishing touch flawless facial hair removal tool, I have understood that this cannot be compared to traditional waxing as I like the results after waxing my face better.Īlso, this flawless tool from sugarcomb.in don’t work well on thick hair! Very annoying! I have to move the tool again and again on the same area wherever the hair is thick. However, whenever I wax my face the hair growth is not thick and face still feels soft. Because the hair grows the same way as after I use a razor on my face. No more razors that leave nicks, bumps and irritation behind. It is actually like a razor and I didn’t find it more than that. The Finishing Touch Flawless Hair Remover is my new favorite way to remove facial hair at home. The finishing touch flawless heats up a little but it is normal and it removes hair from face within seconds without any pain. The tool is good looking and looks like a thick foundation stick to me. About the Finishing Touch Flawless Facial Hair Removal: - Requires 1 AA Battery - Included - 18K Gold-Plated in Beautiful Rose Gold, Discreet and Portable - Removes Facial Hair Instantly and. I have now tried the product more than 4-5 times and I can say that yes, the product delivers what it says that is painless hair removal. This is supposed to remove facial hair from face and other body parts without any pain. Recently I bought this facial hair remover tool from sugarcomb.in. In addition to Amazon, you can buy this product for the same price at Target and Walmart.In today’s video I am sharing my thoughts on the hot selling product finishing touch Flawless Facial Hair Remover and My experience about sugarcomb.in from where I purchased it. But you can buy a pack of two replacement heads on Amazon for about $12-and for me, the cost over time adds up to a lot less than I was spending on other hair removal methods. Like any razor, the Finishing Touch Flawless dulls and become less effective over time, which Amazon reviewers do complain about. (Besides, dermatologists say it's a myth that shaving makes hair grow back thicker.) Any downsides? Not for me or my mother, and not for the many women who've left positive reviews for the Finishing Touch Flawless on Amazon. Does hair grow back thicker after you use it? A blade spins beneath an 18-karat gold-plated guard and shaves off your hair when you glide it over your skin in a slow, circular motion. on that statement, because it is most definitely a razor. Well, as much as I love this product, I have to call B.S. "Flawless is not a laser, hot wire, epilator, or razor," states the manufacturer's product description on Amazon. How does Finishing Touch Flawless work, anyway? There's good reason why the Finishing Touch is consistently ranked among Amazon's best-selling beauty products-no small feat. I have been using this lipstick-sized tool a couple times a week for months now, and it always leaves me with smooth, fuzz-free skin. Sounds too good to be true, right? I swear it's not. Within 30 seconds, the hair on my upper lip was completely gone-with no pain, no redness or irritation, and no hassle whatsoever. When it arrived at my apartment two days later, I tore it out of the package, powered it up with one AA battery, and tried it out. I added it to my own Prime cart as soon as we got off the phone. |
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